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Aidan Mchugh vs Alexander Donski Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - 09-03-23

By Wojtek Kolan - September 3, 2023

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Mchugh vs Donski analysis and find out who is favored!

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Mchugh VS Donski PREDICTION Hard

Cassis Challenger atp

03 Sep 2023 / Q1 round

ODDS

A. Mchugh

To Win

A. Donski

To Win

Mchugh Vs Donski Match Overview - When Will They Play?

Aidan Mchugh vs Alexander Donski Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Mchugh 1 - 0 Donski

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Mchugh has won 56.27% of points on their second serve, while Donski has won 47.8%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Mchugh, in recent form, has won 50.29% of their opponent's second serve points, while Donski has won 50.34%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.84% and 34.6% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Mchugh has saved 58.6% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Donski has saved 54.48% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Mchugh has won 59.46% of matches played (W/L 44/ 30), with Donski winning 59.62% (W/L 31/ 21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Mchugh has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 161/ 95), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 5/ 10). Donski has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 61% (W/L 147/ 93), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 36% (W/L 10/ 18).
  • Player level: In the last year, Mchugh has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 72.92% of matches (W/L 35/ 13), where as Donski has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 62.5% of matches (W/L 30/ 18). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Mchugh winning 1 times and Donski being victorious 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Mchugh winning 2 and Donski winning 0. The last match between Mchugh and Donski was at the Porto Challenger, 04-07-2022, Q3, Hard with Aidan Mchugh getting the victory 6-2 7-6(8).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:52:24.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Mchugh and Donski have played a deciding set 0 times, with Mchugh winning 0 times and Donski 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Mchugh winning 1, and Donski 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Mchugh has played against opponents with an average rank of 182.84 while Donski has played against players with an average rank of 108.67.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Mchugh has won 68% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Donski has won 62% in all matches played on tour.
  • Current event H2H stats: Past player formance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below. Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Mchugh has converted 44% of breakpoint opportunities, and Donski has converted 36.14% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Aidan Mchugh

7

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

7

Minor

358

Rank

298

High

23

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

875

Rank

525

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Alexander Donski

2

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W L W L W L L W

Form

W W W L W W W W L L

60% (249-167)

Career Total W/L

57% (207-157)

48% (14-15)

YTD W/L

67% (20-10)

$32,000

Career Prize Money

$2,645

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Mchugh VS Donski H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Aidan Mchugh Alexander Donski
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 13 8
Aces (Total) 4 6
DFs (Total) 0 4
Avg Match Time 1:52:24 1:52:24
1st Serve % 76% (50/66) 66% (50/76)
1st Serve Win% 64% (32/50) 62% (31/50)
2nd Serve Win% 75% (12/16) 42% (11/26)
BPs Won% (Total) 80% (4/5) 100% (2/2)
Return Points W% 45% (34/76) 33% (22/66)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Mchugh VS Donski H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Alexander Donski
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve %
54% ( 34 of 63)
5
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
96% ( 25 of 26)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 22 of 34)
64% ( 7 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
14% ( 5 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
38
6-2 7-6(8)
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Alexander Donski
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
4
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
75% ( 12 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
33% ( 22 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 34 of 76)
78
Total Points Won
64

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Aidan Mchugh Alexander Donski
YTD W/L 50% (5/5) 69% (20/9)
Sets Win/Loss 50% (11/11) 65% (44/24)
Games Win/Loss 50% (102/100) 56% (378/295)
Aces pg 0.12 0.22
Aces Total 12 73
DFs per game 0.15 0.21
DFs Total 15 70
Avg Match Time 1:40:43 1:3:53
Avg Opp Rank 222.8 54.93
1st Serve % 72% (425/590) 55% (668/1216)
1st Serve W% 64% (273/425) 68% (453/668)
2nd Serve W% 60% (99/165) 49% (270/549)
BPs Won% Total 52% (27/52) 39% (45/114)
Return Pts W% 41% (239/590) 41% (484/1192)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (5/10) 71% (20/28)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 77% (10/13)
Deciding Set W% 50% (1/2) 67% (6/9)
1st set W, W 80% (5/4) 89% (18/16)
1st set W, L 20% (5/1) 11% (18/2)
1st set L, W 20% (5/1) 36% (11/4)

Aidan Mchugh Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
James McCabe
65% ( 71 of 110)
1st Serve %
69% ( 55 of 80)
3
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
2
56% ( 40 of 71)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 34 of 55)
62% ( 24 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 7 of 25)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
42% ( 46 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 39 of 80)
103
Total Points Won
87
W
6-7(2) 6-2 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Player
Aidan Mchugh
51% ( 20 of 39)
1st Serve %
59% ( 39 of 66)
7
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 16 of 20)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
28% ( 11 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 32 of 66)
60
Total Points Won
45
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Nathan Ponwith
Player
Aidan Mchugh
50% ( 30 of 60)
1st Serve %
68% ( 39 of 57)
1
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
0
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
37% ( 22 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
66
Total Points Won
51
L
7-5 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Unknown Player
79% ( 41 of 52)
1st Serve %
55% ( 28 of 51)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
1
68% ( 28 of 41)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 18 of 28)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
31% ( 16 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 24 of 51)
60
Total Points Won
43
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Ricardo Rodriguez-Pace
Player
Aidan Mchugh
64% ( 61 of 96)
1st Serve %
72% ( 52 of 72)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
66% ( 40 of 61)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 35 of 52)
60% ( 21 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
36% ( 35 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 26 of 72)
87
Total Points Won
81
L
7-6(9) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Elijah Strode
75% ( 36 of 48)
1st Serve %
57% ( 36 of 63)
0
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
7
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
83% ( 10 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 9 of 27)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
27% ( 13 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
65
Total Points Won
46
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Oliver Anderson
64% ( 58 of 90)
1st Serve %
54% ( 42 of 78)
4
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
4
66% ( 38 of 58)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
47% ( 15 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
41% ( 37 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 37 of 78)
90
Total Points Won
78
W
7-6(8) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Jake Van Emburgh
64% ( 34 of 53)
1st Serve %
59% ( 45 of 76)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
74% ( 25 of 34)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
84% ( 16 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 13 of 31)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 12 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 35 of 76)
76
Total Points Won
53
W
6-2 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Aidan Mchugh
Player
Daniel Vishnick
64% ( 18 of 28)
1st Serve %
60% ( 18 of 30)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
5
78% ( 14 of 18)
1st Serve Won
22% ( 4 of 18)
100% ( 10 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
14% ( 4 of 28)
Rtn Points Won
80% ( 24 of 30)
48
Total Points Won
10
W
6-0 6-0 H2H

Alexander Donski Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Neil Oberleitner
Player
Alexander Donski
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
47% ( 34 of 72)
5
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
6
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 26 of 34)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 31 of 72)
71
Total Points Won
55
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Robin Bertrand
Player
Alexander Donski
67% ( 51 of 76)
1st Serve %
55% ( 46 of 83)
7
Aces
11
3
Double Faults
2
75% ( 38 of 51)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
32% ( 24 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 34 of 83)
86
Total Points Won
73
L
6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Donski
Player
Samir Hamza Reguig
52% ( 31 of 60)
1st Serve %
81% ( 51 of 63)
4
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
39% ( 24 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 31 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
55
W
6-1 7-6(3) H2H
Q2
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Alexander Donski
Player
Luke Sorensen
64% ( 47 of 73)
1st Serve %
68% ( 45 of 66)
9
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
3
74% ( 35 of 47)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
34% ( 25 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 33 of 66)
81
Total Points Won
58
W
6-1 7-6(4) H2H
Q1
W
7-6(2) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Lukas Pokorny
Player
Alexander Donski
75% ( 42 of 56)
1st Serve %
55% ( 38 of 69)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 17 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 31 of 69)
70
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Alexander Donski
Player
Ewen Lumsden
56% ( 49 of 88)
1st Serve %
63% ( 54 of 86)
5
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
61% ( 30 of 49)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 38 of 54)
51% ( 20 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 13 of 32)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
43% ( 38 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 86)
85
Total Points Won
89
W
7-6(5) 4-6 10-5 H2H
Q2
W
6-0 4-6 10-8 H2H
Q1
W
6-3 6-0 H2H

Mchugh Vs Donski Prediction H2H Images To Share

More tennis photos of Mchugh are available here and Donski photos here.


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